UK July Heatwave: Will More Extreme Heat Follow This Summer?

  • تاريخ النشر: منذ ساعة زمن القراءة: دقيقة قراءة

Record June heat eases, but the UK faces an elevated chance of more summer heatwaves.

June Has Already Changed the Starting Point

Cooler Weather Arrives Before July

More Heatwaves Are More Likely Than Usual

No Forecast Can Identify a July Date Yet

A Mixed Summer Is Still Possible

Climate Change Raises the Background Risk

Southern and Eastern England Remain Most Exposed

Warm Nights Matter as Much as Daytime Peaks

Heat Can End With Disruptive Storms

The Outlook Signals Risk, Not Certainty

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The UK is entering July after an exceptional late-June heatwave that broke the national June temperature record on three consecutive days. The peak reached a provisional 37.3°C at Santon Downham in Suffolk on 26 June, while disruptive heat affected schools, NHS services, transport and airports.

The immediate heat is easing, but that does not settle the rest of summer. Seasonal guidance points to a greater-than-usual chance of hot conditions and further heatwaves, while stopping well short of predicting when, where or how intense another episode would be.

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