Supercomputer Predicts Every Winner in the 2026 World Cup Round of 16

The 2026 World Cup has reached its final 16 teams after a knockout stage that eliminated Germany, Croatia and the Netherlands while pushing defending champions Argentina to extra time against Cabo Verde. Opta has now rerun its tournament model using the latest performances, results and remaining bracket.

The predictions were calculated before the round of 16 began on July 4 and represent each team’s probability of reaching the quarter-finals, including possible extra time and penalties. They are statistical projections rather than guaranteed score predictions—but several favourites appear considerably safer than others.